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Wager On It – NFL Playoff Picks, LSU vs Clemson Predictions, Betting Traits and Angles, plus Finest Bets
Bet On It - NFL Playoff Picks, LSU vs Clemson Predictions, Betting Trends and Angles, plus Best Bets
[Music]
welcome to guess on I am Kelly Stewart your
host tonight we’re gonna break down the
NFL divisional spherical and discuss somewhat
bit concerning the nationwide championship with
my man over right here mr. Marco D’Angelo at
Marco in Vegas and Yanni the Greek
gambler at Greek underscore gambler on
Twitter I am excited to speak about this
nationwide championship sport to start out
issues off right here I am shocked 5 5 and a
half you guys are gonna say effectively of
course you bought a greater line cuz that is
what you guys like to do I’ve a buddy
on Twitter who acquired a 6 and a half and I
mentioned ask him how a lot cash I am allowed
to guess on the six and a half and I took
it as a result of why not I do not know if I am
even gonna want it although that is my
query there’s a lot to interrupt down
with this sport right here that is an LSU group
that the final time I guess towards them
was towards Utah State and completely
they for concerning the first quarter I used to be
like yeah Utah state’s gonna cowl this
sport after which they completely acquired
throttled and that was all she wrote and
I mentioned I am gonna take a pair steps
again and take a look at this LSU group and
they’ve achieved nothing however cowl numbers
when is outright underdogs to get to
this nationwide championship however at this
level Marco would you say possibly they’re
overvalued oh completely and you understand I
know you want Clemson to win the
nationwide championship every time we acquired to
the Ultimate 4 and you understand we talked
about that and I disagreed with you
motive being I favored Ohio State so much in
that matchup and I nonetheless suppose Ohio
State you understand received that sport you understand
and possibly in the event that they have been to play two out
of 3 times Ohio State wins that sport
little question about it
I perceive it was one massive fortunate than
good however now what we’re seeing right here is
public likes to have a look at what they only
noticed and what they only noticed was an LSU
group simply take Oklahoma out behind the
woodshed beat the snot out of them
drag them out from behind the woodshed
as a result of I by no means noticed a coach you understand and
I like you understand Lincoln Riley has achieved a
nice job in Oklahoma however Mike God there
was not a single adjustment in that sport
and in some unspecified time in the future you bought to attempt to run
the soccer to get your protection a
respiration I do not need to beat a useless
horse right here bag on a Lincoln Riley however
what do you say to that group at halftime
I imply at that cut-off date they
principally simply caved that is why the one
factor that issues in that sport is the
first quarter take what you’ll be able to out of
that after the primary quarter do not even
take a look at the stat sheet it is irrelevant
it isn’t going that can assist you with this
sport in any respect okay suppose so for you understand
Edwards are on for every part that I
love about him and every part he simply he
saved taking what they have been giving him
and so they saved operating up the rating and
what that did effectively it made this line
balloon as much as a 5 and a half the place
it is at proper now and the one factor that
I’ll say and why I am leaping over onto
your horse right here and getting on the
Clemson bandwagon is as a result of they did
get by the Ohio State sport I did
not suppose that they might however the
vogue through which they did they have been
behind 16 nothing they have been in a position to make
changes that is once more Dabo Sweeney
he is you bought to place him as the most effective
faculty soccer coach you understand saving
had the rain for the way lengthy however Davos
handed them he made the changes he
wanted to make any acquired his group in a
place to win and so they did sure there
was a controversial name on the finish that
they acquired the break line however that is what
it’s effectively what it does
ace is while you take a look at this sport
they’ve already been in a battle
they’ve withstood adversity until you
hasn’t actually but what does LSU do if
Clemson punches them within the face like
Ohio State did the Clemson can LSU
reply that I am undecided they will do
that I acquired a take a look at the six and a half
and for those who keep in mind Kelly after we first
talked about it and also you have been taking
Clemson for to win the championship
simply taking it the longer term in order I mentioned
you would be higher off operating a mechanical
partly effectively now that that is 5 and a
half a riot a lot totally different as a result of
no person revered dislike as a result of after we
have been determining what the cash traces
have been gonna be I make this sport three at
probably the most
we’re on the West Gate he mentioned look in
this situation this situation this
situation Clemson minus one Clemson plus
one and I mentioned you understand what I am simply
gonna go and take the plus two 30 and
now I am
good grief alright vr so I am taking a look at
the packing containers right here proper they’re principally
a choose’em in so many issues they each
run the identical variety of performs per sport
the time of possession is identical
clemson has the dashing yards edge which
is hilarious as a result of LSU has been such a
ground-and-pound group for all these
years now of a sudden their air and the
ball out I see this as a really shut sport
coming all the way down to a last-minute landing a
last-minute discipline aim just like what
we noticed towards Ohio State sorry Marco
the one edge that I can actually give LSU
right here is that stadium we talked a few
lot the Saints Stadium Mercedes dome how
a lot home-field benefit
can we give towards effectively then what’s
constructed into the flight that that is the place
we’re gonna that is the place we’re getting
our price Kelly on the miscalculation of
the home-field benefit actually is
coupled with that recency bias of what
Marco touched on this is the underside line
for a greater like myself and most sharp
betters that is the best guess for us
to make as a result of it is apparent in case your
worth higher and your solely job is to
place good bets then you definitely already know
what it’s important to do and that is guess the
Clemson aspect and know that even for those who
throw that ticket away on Monday evening
you place the hell of a guess and this is
why due to the straightforward truth earlier than
they met within the playoffs
oddsmakers already advised us what the
betting line needs to be primarily based on energy
rankings alone and that was Clemson or
Ellis I imply base quantity Ohio State was
primary one one and a half level
favourite and now hastily that
recency bias coupled with this
home-field benefit then I do not see
as a result of hear it isn’t like LSU performs
their proper it isn’t like they know that
they’re higher than everybody else and
it isn’t like Lawrence hasn’t been on
that stage they they beat Alabama within the
nationwide championship I’ve the identical
line principally snort the stress hasn’t
bothered that child the stress hasn’t
bothered Clemson if they cannot deal with
enjoying in that dome no person
can they don’t seem to be enjoying in Baton Rouge
if it was in Baton Rouge then I’ve to
calculate what that home-field benefit
is and possibly this 5 and a half is
justified however there isn’t any approach it’s there
like I get it we might handicap it about
Lauren’s first burro about how nice
these NFL extensive receivers are about these
defensive coordinator about every part
that is all baked factor cake we
gotta discover one thing that is not and
that is the home-field benefit that
they’re over quantifying miscalculating
and the recency bias so for me figuring out I
might get a pair factors higher that is
probably the most I might ever hope for is it
higher figuring out that I am getting plus
5 on a sport that needs to be plus even
if it needs to be plus three if I am
getting plus 5 5 and a half that is
probably the most I might ever hope for what’s
gonna occur is gonna occur at the least I
know I acquired to go bat in my pocket it is
simple
inform take Clemson sprinkle and the over
I do not suppose both defenses stopping
anyone to level out one thing that you just
mentioned on the very starting about that
you understand what the correct that’s whether or not
it wins or loses you understand what the correct
mattress is in his skilled higher that is
all you can you are joking you are
having a bet for right this moment however what you might have
to consider is the guess is for right this moment
but when I made that very same guess nobody
precisely 100 occasions am I gonna win 53 or
extra of these over 100 at plus
5 and a half Clemson is plus Evi sure
I do not imply they will catch that
ticket there’s gonna be a sip Monday
evening goes to be a pattern dimension of
one over the however we’re speaking over the
subsequent 12 months of 2020 for those who might discover
a guess like Clemson again and again
that is your job zipper as a greater come
December 31st you will be in that 1% that
turned the revenue as a result of that is how
they do it by discovering in efficiencies in
the betting market relatively than worrying
concerning the final result of a single outcome
which is there’s a lot randomness
concerned a blown name a fumble there’s
a lot that might have an effect on the end result of
a one sport so place good bets Clemson’s
a very good guess I prefer it we’re gonna set
for a fast break we’ll return we’re
gonna take a look at the 2 Saturday playoff
video games I am excited speak about my favourite
coach coach Zimmer that is up subsequent on guess
on it
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on it is time for us to take a deep dive
into Saturday’s playoff video games let’s
begin on the four: 30 slate Minnesota at San
Francisco San Francisco is the seven
level favourite whole is all the way down to 44 this
one’s attention-grabbing it open 45 and a half
we’ll get to the full right here in a minute
Marco we have been speaking within the inexperienced room
somebody to surrender the trace Marco and I
are on totally different sides I am curious to
see who VR is on on this one I all the time
like while you get to play the tiebreaker
that is an attention-grabbing one right here you might have
this Vikings group that performed rattling close to
good soccer towards the Saints and
that is the way you go in to the Superdome
and also you beat that Saints group now I’ve
to credit score so much to that crimson zone protection
which is what I mentioned on bleacher report
that I believed that this group was gonna
make them kick discipline objectives positive sufficient
let’s I feel missed two discipline objectives in
that sport possibly it was simply the primary
one there to avoid wasting my first half beneath
thank God I didn’t sprinkle on the
Minnesota Vikings right here or final week and
I regretted it I nonetheless do not know we
sprinkle I do know there is a sprinkle clear
I do know however this Vikings group this week
I am nonetheless debating whether or not I am gonna
sprinkle or not I would love to listen to what
it’s important to say about this matchup and
then I’ve acquired all my factors I would wish to
like simply throw in there after we
disagree effectively I am occurring San Francisco
and I like them so much right here we all know okay
look how a lot I like them so much are they
gonna make your finest guess there they’re
not gonna make my finest guess on the present
however do not gotta make my card this
weekend okay my purchasers good I’ve a
totally different sport for the most effective guess right here on
the present this
a spot the place you begin with final week
one of many issues I mentioned concerning the
Saints in after we did discuss concerning the
Vikings in that sport and we talked about
Cooke he was gonna have his good sport
everyone was frightened concerning the shoulder
and every part I mentioned hear he is had
two weeks the place he is had no contact now
he is gonna have a very good sport the
questions gonna be now that he is performed
a sport how’s that shoulder after taking
hits final week will there be somewhat
little bit of remorse keep in mind final yr now
it is a totally different damage but it surely’s the
similar precept Todd Gurley first playoff
sport once they had the bye week and
every part in he hit and so they rested him
the week earlier than so he had a pair weeks
off had a very good playoff sport after which he
deteriorated each sport afterwards in
the playoffs you may see any person I
ought to get his group to the Tremendous Bowl
they misplaced referees acquired his group no Tremendous
Bowl okay and the way concerning the poor saints
they might not get on the correct aspect of
a controversial name it to avoid wasting their
lives I imply the man did push off and
they did not I do not know yeah however they
have been nonetheless gonna get in there I
Minnesota deserve the win do not get me
improper within the Saints that is what occurs
I am sorry while you get a false sense of
safety while you run up scores on groups
that simply cannot play with you keep in mind
the Monday evening sport Indianapolis yeah
okay Indianapolis was no consider that
sport at any level of the sport and
as a result of Drew Brees was going for data
and every part else and enjoying within the
third quarter get the Panthers yeah it
is unnecessary and now they confronted an
offense okay
and we all know Kirk Cousins when he has the
operating sport what working is a greater
quarterback to cross the soccer not
gonna occur this week I do know the 49ers
protection didn’t play effectively down the
stretch they have been banged up however
they’ve had per week off to heal up some
of these guys their protection continues to be
higher than the Saints I like them to
make life depressing for Kirk Cousins
this week and I feel for Kirk Cousins
you understand he mentioned all the correct issues
after the sport however for him you understand that
when he acquired off digital camera it was like yeah
take that I can not win a giant sport
as an example wasn’t a giant sport it isn’t
know that it was a playoff sport is a
playoff sport it is why he had received a
playoff sure it wasn’t a primetime sport
which is why I wished to make the joke
yeah and speak about that as a result of this
sport mentioned uh 135 on the on the west
coast so what’s the issue
yeah no no no drawback there for him on
that issue however final week we talked
about it and I mentioned Minnesota would not
have as a lot of a drawback as most
groups going to the dome they play in a
dome now they’re enjoying outside not
that weathers a distinction however they’re
used to enjoying in good situations on
a quick monitor now you are enjoying on grass
outside that is a bonus to San
Francisco in two weeks to organize and
let’s be trustworthy and individuals are gonna
level out effectively Jimmy G hasn’t performed a
playoff sport but you understand what he hasn’t
technically the final sport of the season
was a playoff sport paper enjoying on the
street in Seattle for the division title
and the bye week I that’s playoff
expertise in my view alright vr
whose aspect are you on
yeah it is a dilemma sport for me and
this is the explanation cuz every part we have
simply argued forwards and backwards about what
aspect are they on um this is the issue i
as quickly as earlier than the road even went up
I just like the Minnesota aspect and once I noticed
that six and a half it turned worrisome
as a result of I figured that the teams that I
transfer for are going to guess the favourite
they’re gonna get attempt to get the most effective of
that seven as a result of the traces most likely
going to maneuver within the course of the
group coming off the by and that is
precisely what occurred the primary by order
I get was – six-and-a-half on San
Francisco okay getting the most effective of the
seven however then one other group got here in and
took the set – seven at even cash so
I am undecided if it was a transfer to get the
better of a seven or it is a legit transfer and
it is early within the week so possibly we’ll
discover out later as a result of I just like the
Minnesota aspect and I truly wished to
guess Minnesota in a future as a substitute of
even higher
right here as a result of hear in the event that they win this
sport their queen flip towards Seattle or
Inexperienced Bay after which within the Tremendous Bowl how
massive of a canine are they’re gonna make certain
towards Baltimore there will be a
vital canine
but when Baltimore does not make it there
they don’t seem to be a giant canine towards anybody
else and in the event that they’re like 15 the one the
win the Tremendous Bowl at this level so I
thought Minnesota is even a future for
me so I like Minnesota right here they’re very
comparable while you take a look at the
analytics while you take a look at even the
level differential they’ve had this
season uh and I like the way in which Minnesota’s
been enjoying I do III suppose there’s some
worth there however the guys I I respect and
have confirmed to me they they’re in that
1% that win long run they guess Oh San
Fran – six and a half
alright beer I am gonna stick to you
Tennessee everywhere in the board let’s examine
9 and a half’s nines even right here in
city in a 10 in a sq. store Baltimore
whole of 48 that is attention-grabbing I do not
have a giant opinion on this sport I would love
to again the canine right here Ravens have coated
9 over the past ten what’s hen you are
gonna be capable of do towards this protection
I simply have so many questions that I
do not know what to do I lean in direction of the
beneath on this sport I like Tennessee I
guess the on there already I launched the
on doing the primary half them I subscribe
beneath 24 I gave it out I consider a four%
play do not quote me on that three or four% play
guess beneath 24 I believed there was so much
of worth there we laid as much as – 125 even
as much as 130 I consider nonetheless a very good guess and
I like Tennessee plus the factors give me
9 and a half give me ten I feel
there’s some worth there I do know
Baltimore’s the group the beat within the AFC
however we all know on this spherical factors
mattered probably the most not like final week with
the wild-card spherical
although favorites have achieved effectively
straight up
they have not towards the unfold and
that is the distinction that on this
divisional spherical factors truly matter
so I am going to go forward and take the 10 with
Tennessee and beneath within the first half
alright Marco you might have the ground assist me
dissect this sport so far as the sport
goes I am on the fence
proper now so far as the aspect I could make
a robust case for both aspect after all
the issue for me I am gonna take a look at the
whole and I am gonna disagree with you
guys I am gonna be out on an island by
myself this week get a very good quantity
as a result of I feel it should hold
coming down I feel the knee-jerk
response is individuals are gonna look
they’re gonna see what Tennessee did
final week over final week and that was
such an abomination second half I imply
come on England cannot rating we have been
speaking about it for six weeks okay so
do not overreact to the truth that they
held them to 13 factors do not over
react the week earlier than that that they
held Houston the fourteen factors as a result of
Euston sat everyone positive you did not
care it is a protection that may be
scored on and the opposite notion is
effectively each groups run the soccer the
clocks gonna roll the clock so what the
clock
they’re gonna rob lowes debut keep in mind
that development debut quarterbacks do not do
effectively in these playoffs Ryan Tannehill
they moved the soccer these groups run
the soccer however they run it effectively
that units up the passing sport as effectively
they rating shortly these groups they
have no issues I agree after which
we’re making an attempt to run the Wildcat with
Mariota final week was an attention-grabbing
dynamic to to form of go off on stuff
with the teaching choices final week on
among the video games we might do a complete
phase on me simply ripping coaches however
on this one I feel you are gonna see a
lot of factors on this one and I additionally acquired
to suppose
Tennessee’s somewhat fats and sassy from
that win they most likely are Marco being
fats and sassy over right here himself time for
us to take a fast break however after we
return we’re gonna take a look at these sunday
NFL playoff video games a pair extra i am unable to
dissect and one that’s so near
being my finest guess however i do not suppose it is
gonna get they’re on the lookout for extra NFL
betting data then tune in to the
presidential tackle every week when
wager talks personal lawrence Presiden the
Prez together with ralph michaels break
down this week’s total NFL card the
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battle let’s head to the Sunday motion
breakdown the 2 NFL video games
first up the Texans at Kansas Metropolis this
one is gone up a couple of ticks itself 10
right here at caesars 9 and a half throughout the
board whole of 51 after all everyone
likes the Chiefs and the over Marco I am going to
begin with you I do not that is spot
initially might there have been a
group that received final week that appeared
worse and successful than the Houston Texas
no okay
they have been getting drilled for all the
sport after which come again get a landing
get a two-point conversion get one other
landing a two-point conversion and
then miraculously you understand hand over the
tying discipline aim on the finish which once more
we talked about coaches when it was
fourth in 27 for Buffalo at midfield and
it was on the opposite aspect of the
two-minute warning
and also you had all three timeouts why in
god’s identify do you strive fourth and 27 from
midfield principally midfield relatively than
punt the ball pin him again inside to 15
10 yard line no matter use your three
timeouts
he was the automated that coaches this
approach it was completely asinine in my
opinion okay I’ve acquired you’ve got acquired a giant
Texas ticket in my pocket that I didn’t
be ok with for a complete sport so
for that at that very second you are
proper at that time I used to be like okay and
they and so they did maintain him three however
then they’d you understand they have been in
their territory as a result of they began to
drive at midfield
I take a look at this one they acquired the window
in I favored groups that win ugly as a result of
no person needs them they acquired the monkey
off their again they need a sport they
weren’t purported to that helps groups and
you need to speak about worth after we
talked concerning the nationwide championship
sport and we mentioned why is that mendacity
five-and-a-half effectively I am gonna ask you
BR why in god’s identify is that this line
9 and a half ten when these two groups
performed in a daily season and a line
was three and a half and one the group
that misplaced yeah the group is now their
favourite why the place’s the how a lot has
modified in these two groups okay so I am
gonna play that was I am a adverse and
turnovers all proper hear I wish to
Texas too however I am gonna simply learn you my
notes and why I feel individuals coming in
the Chiefs 9 of their final ten
they’ve coated at Arrowhead together with
six straight
mahomes is again to one hundred percent
they’re off a bye week I am simply giving
you issues that I am guessing whereas
individuals are eager to their protection has
proven enchancment I do know that protection is
nonetheless completely horrible and II learn
off of by twenty two and three and
that is Andy Reed versus Invoice O’Brien is
a used Mitch mouth lastly thanks for
your paying for I am going to let VR go however the
final thing I am going to inform you while you mentioned
about that protection sure the final six
weeks the Kansas Metropolis chief protection is
performed outstanding let me look right here
Chargers Oakland New England ooh
Tom Brady cannot throw the ball downfield
Denver cannot throw the ball downfield
Chicago Mitch too dangerous okay yeah they
shut down some actually good offenses
Kansas Metropolis’s they’re spectacular this
season and this is why they’re there have been
six groups that have been set with a season
win whole of 10 or larger and that was
New England New Orleans
the Rams Casey Philadelphia and the
Chargers the one ones nonetheless standing is
Kansas Metropolis out of all these groups
everybody else is a shock roughly
at the least primarily based on their season wing
whole so within the AFC it is them and
Baltimore it appears to be like like that is the
strongest aspect the excellent news for Kansas
Metropolis followers is that this that although in
the divisional spherical factors matter the
most and we touched on final week within the
wild-card spherical simply choose the winner if
you take a look at over since 2015 we’ll look
at dwelling groups of seven or extra factors
favored by seven or extra have received 14 of
17 video games so that they’re 14 and three
straight up they not often lose straight up
however they’re solely six 9 and two
towards the unfold lower than 40% ATS so
on this spot while you’re compelled to pay
for it
they have not been worthwhile and Casey
at minus eight the place it opened I can see
getting behind it however at double digits I
cannot
and so they even did a very good job of
defending the teaser so it isn’t even
actually betta bull I might inform you this
a pointy group that I respect guess the
over they went over 49 I I see no motive
to disagree with this they put up 55
final time the one factor that worries me
is that they adjusted down from that whole it
was 54 and a half in that first sport and
it is decrease now although playoffs
that is why precisely that is why so I you
know that is why it it and provides it out
this my guys you understand I and it moved to
51 so you understand a number of that 49 values
gone clearly I am not gonna have him
guess it now 51 if I might’ve gave it to
him at 49 however I feel the over is the
technique to go and once more I feel Kansas Metropolis
ought to be capable of get it achieved the most effective
regular-season group in all a soccer
ought to get it achieved all proper
Marko Seattle now a 4 level underdog
at Lambeau Area whole of 47 this appears to be like
like a discipline aim sort sport I do not need
to be concerned on the aspect however I actually
actually just like the beneath right here that Packers
cross rush is gonna be one of many extra
troublesome ones
the Russell Wilson has seen all yr
they’ve failed by the way in which Seahawks
didn’t cowl their final 5 at
Lambeau I do not know the way related that
is however just a bit aspect word for me I
take a look at this with that is the hardest
sport of the 4 I agree
I take a look at Seattle and you understand I see
Russell Wilson getting factors and I would like
to take it okay then you definitely take a look at Aaron
Rodgers and Lambeau and there is a number of
mystique about Lambeau in every part you
know McGowan final week got here in off the
bench he was 18 of 24 he simply could not
punch him ultimately zone
they’d three discipline objectives and so they had
two different drives that will have been
discipline objectives if not for the sport
scenario they have been down eight they
bypassed the sector objectives and you understand
needed to strive for the landing I am not
bought on both group right here this needs to be
the overachiever Bowl as a result of for those who
take a look at the 2
groups their stats don’t point out what
their data are so if I am up within the
air in a sport I am gonna go to I am gonna
lean to the canine in Seattle all of their
video games end you understand eight factors or
much less it appears we’re getting 4 right here
let’s take a shot with Seattle however I am going to
say it that is my weakest of the 4
all proper right here you bought a few minute
left right here inform me what your ideas are
on this man I’ve a stake on the
Seattle signal as a result of one of many teams I
present accounts for they guess Seattle at
plus 4 I can not disagree with it I
have not confirmed that but to share it
with my subscribers I do not suppose that
traces gonna transfer approach down in order that’s why
there was no rush I knew I’ve until a
couple days to resolve the explanation I do
suppose the Seattle aspect mail for some
worth shortly is they don’t seem to be getting any
credit score for beating Philadelphia as a result of
of the quarterback scenario after all
and Wentz taking place and I feel as a result of
of that their inventory was actually excessive
getting in that Philadelphia sport however form
of come down somewhat bit off that win
most likely my Twitter reminding each
single a type of Seattle backers that
they should not cashed a ticket as a result of
to JV and clowny had tried it however I simply
wished to deliver them again all the way down to earth
cuz I used to be actually mad about that one however
hey we reside to guess one other day and I
actually like this beneath right here I feel
Seattle is among the extra penalized
groups within the NFL and I feel that
continues this week once more in Lambeau so
we’ll see how that correlates to no
factors being scored nice stuff from
these guys now it’s time to usher in
our resident cease man mr. Ralph Michaels
I am actually excited to see what Ralph has
dug up for the dug up for us for this
divisional weekend welcome again to guess
on it my man mr. Ralph Michaels to the
proper of me hello thanks
how are you thanks you you introduced me
a laundry record so I am gonna allow you to get
began for those who guys aren’t falling off
at Cal sport Selvi coming in clutch the
NBA sheet final evening double winner for
me on OKC so shout out to Ralph for that
one you understand somewhat TNA for the for
the division spherical right here earlier than we get to
the championship spherical first I need to
point out numbers they’re simply so individuals
know what to anticipate on this spherical it is a
distinctive as a result of the 1 & 2 seeds have a
Purchase and within the reverse seeds
final week so since 2013 I wished to make use of
the ferry pattern dimension the house group has
gone 19 and 5 however solely 11 12 and one
towards the unfold so rust versus relaxation
is all the time the query it has been simply
about 500 the over/beneath is gone 13 at
11 I’ll say this although dwelling groups in
this spherical for those who tease them it does not
matter what the road has been the house
group has gone 21 and three on a 6 level
teaser okay dwelling group teaser 23 and 1 on a
6 level teaser 21 and 321 I wrote down
20 1 2 three so yeah so I imply for those who simply
tease the house groups it has been very
profitable whatever the line so that you
know there’s that rust versus relaxation and
a number of occasions you are paying a premium
value cuz the adjustment now week 19
that is this week the division spherical dwelling
favorites as much as 6 have gone six 4 and
two towards the unfold dwelling favorites of
9 and a half or extra have gone 5
and OH towards the spray Wow in between
widows this week from six and a half to
9
they’ve gone 2 and 11 towards the unfold
so small dwelling favorites and large dwelling
favorites have achieved effectively in that
landing zone they’ve gone 2 and 11
towards the unfold
so let’s the plain query groups off
upset wins Tennessee and Minnesota we
need to know the way they’ve achieved if the
dwelling group is going through an opponent off an
upset win like Minnesota and Tennessee
the house group has gone from 9 and four
straight up however the group that pull the
upset has gone 9 and four towards the
unfold so the house group has gone four and 9
80s dwelling group with the customer off an
upset win like Tennessee that received by 7
or extra like Tennessee did these totals
have gone 2 and 9 over beneath a pair
extra group specifics groups that beat the
Tremendous Bowl champ to one in every of 13 straight
as much as a 12 ATS that is not gonna see
beating New England now I feel that is
extra an anomaly I do not put so much into
it as a result of they’re within the playoffs you
know through the common season possibly
week 1 or 2 for those who beat the common
season champs
one thing extra however once more it must be
famous as a result of it’s a document and the way
about this this one shocked the heck out
of me
playoff groups that received 4 or fewer
video games the yr earlier than since 2000 on
Twitter 4 and twenty 80s and if
they are a favourite or a canine as much as seven
one sixteen and one towards the unfold
and that clearly is San Francisco in
that development how a lot weight would that
development be so we’ll get to my finest guess
right here on the finish of the present which
already alluded it feels totally different
currently you understand you’ve got had you guess
gamers go and Garoppolo acquired injured so
it isn’t the identical for wind group because it
was and one final word we all know Seattle’s
a historic group successful eight street video games
this yr we all know Seattle’s a historic
group successful 11 one rating video games this
yr that is tied for probably the most within the NFL
since 2011 for those who simply teased each
Seattle playoff sport 15: 01 whoa nice
stuff from Ralph Michaels now it is time
for us to take a fast break after we
return it is time for our NFL teasers and
our greatest bets of the week guys we’re 21
and 11 the final 32 in soccer this
weekend I am releasing my 5% playoff sport
of the month I like one sport this
weekend in reality it will likely be my greatest
guess I make of the playoffs be a part of me and
I am going to provide you with a bonus play in playoff
motion with it we have now cashed 65% of our
soccer bets over the past month and
now it is time for the largest play of
the month go to my dwelling web page at wager
discuss calm now to enroll be sure you
try any covers and Ralph Michaels
on their new present wager discuss every and
each weekday on the sports activities cred TV
community reside at three: 00 p.m. Jap Time
midday pacific that is your every day sports activities
central for gambler’s a full hour of
loaded sports activities wedding ceremony content material verify it
out without spending a dime each weekday welcome again
now that we have now broke down the 4
divisional video games and the nationwide
championship I feel it is time for these
teasers this week guys they have been
doing go to me first with you I look
ahead to the phase they’ve form of
generally on Sunday form of bail you out
you hit your good little two group teaser
all of it is true once more on the planet
as a result of even for those who did not win that aspect
you bought that good little cushion so VR
settle for Philadelphia abruptly after us
that was why do you guys why does he do
this to me prefer it’s me on the web
with trolls and in actual life he is like I
was that was my 5% final week
Philadelphia I used to be on the teaser so not
good okay all proper because the VR is like
thanks mark I have been saying all of it all
yr proper like a damaged document that you just
tease the numbers and there is just one
tease that you are able to do that with fairly
a lot San Francisco with Seattle as a result of
you towards San Francisco all the way down to a
choose’em and Seattle up by seven and
as much as a double-digit that is the plain
so I can not provide you with that as a result of that is
the one teaser on the weekend however
you are gonna hear arguments of T’s and
six T’s it down to 6 and a half years
six and a half and 7 level teasers
even from some sharp guys and there might
be an argument for that as a result of within the
playoffs we all know traces may very well be tighter
and I can inform you for certainty within the
closing spherical subsequent week teasers needs to be
minus 160 170 so there is a ton of worth
to make use of teasers subsequent week I have never seen
the information in entrance of me to inform me that
it is plus TV this week they use a seven
level teaser in any other case I would be taking a look at
groups in double-digit favorites I can not
do this so if we’re taking a look at adverse
Eevee
I would as effectively provide you with one thing that
I like and people are the totals and
you are gonna say you do not there isn’t any
worth in T’s and totals the place there isn’t any
worth in doing seven-point teasers
both until you’ll be able to show to me within the
playoffs there’s and I have never seen the
information to verify that precisely but so
once more the we’re gonna tease Tennessee
Baltimore beneath from 47 down the as much as
53 so we’re going beneath 53 and Houston
Casey over 45 taking that whole down
even totals it is like I am gonna embed it
however I am simply that is what I like if I if
somebody held the gun to my head and mentioned
for those who do not hit your teaser right this moment this
gun goes off that will be the teaser I
hand over
however I am not betting it so you understand
as a result of Marco bets proper now your brains
are unfold out you simply blow downforce
all proper within the again I am compelled and
compelled right here now I am gonna be both
SpongeBob SquarePants er who with my
teaser and that is proper the correct factor
although it most likely is video as a result of I
need to do it and we talked about it if
you do what’s the proper factor and plus
C V 100 occasions you are gonna win
extra long-term the correct transfer right here is to
tease San Francisco down after which the
difficult one is the Seattle and what I am
doing is I am gonna go together with the six and a
half level teaser so that you’re laying a
little extra juice however you are not laying
as a lot juice as you’d with a seven
level teaser the six and a half will get us
over the the 1000 we get to 10 and a
half you understand what is the massive deal effectively I
would relatively win a guess then push the guess
in ten is a quantity that particularly in
this sport with Seattle’s I talked about
it after we broke the sport down 13 of
their 17 video games this yr have been
determined by eight factors or much less 13 of 17
on that that is the plain teaser and I
suppose lots of people weren’t going to
be betting that teaser they’re gonna be
trying to tease Baltimore and Baltimore
and Kansas and Casey goes to be in
nearly all of teasers that that for
sure completely and that is why the
Kansas Metropolis one of many explanation why they
pumped that line somewhat bit greater than
they need to have stop shortly they’re
you there however that is the plain teaser
for me I see San Francisco successful I
do not see Minnesota successful two playoff
video games in a row on the street and I simply
do not see Seattle getting blown out it
can occur in Lambeau as I mentioned after we
broke that sport down that is the hardest
sport I had however the factor is with this
Inexperienced Bay protection and the way in which the
offense shouldn’t be exploded this yr
they’ve let groups grasp round and
anytime you bought Russell Wilson their
backdoor is all the time gonna be open for you
earlier than they name me sq. for my my
totals teaser I turned revenue final yr
I turned revenue the yr earlier than that did
you okay reply that query
earlier than I knew we should always simply combine the
teaser phase right this moment what’s yours
I do not know that is that is the correct
reply
you suppose you understand why we had a teaser
this week as a result of that is simply my
assertion keep in mind however no we have now person
segments again since you gave the one
Johnny we’re having a to as a result of that is
motion a boy data that you just mentioned there’s
just one teaser this week both you
play it or for those who prefer it or depart it
alone all proper it is best dangerous time I am
bored with arguing you guys about teasers
that is bets oh yeah that is probably the most
vital a part of the present the artwork what
do you suppose everyone’s out you are
watching us apparently not as a result of I hit
the most effective guess and so they do and so they nonetheless
complain on Twitter laughs you guys each
at your finest bets final week and I
respect you guys giving that further
little nudge in order that I’d guess each of
them as effectively I like the identical sides it is
simply we like Philly – yeah the identical dimension
being in Minnesota I feel they’re gonna
be my finest guess on this week like I mentioned
I actually favored that beneath and the
Packers you want them that a lot at the least
for me sprinkle this occasions please
or if not sprinkle put somebody on a
future please okay even when it is 50 bucks
from figuring out the Tremendous Bowl for those who’re
betting them this week higher future
with them
please I am going to sprinkle it on the cash
line I feel it is worthwhile
backside line Niners do not have an amazing
home-field benefit
three 4 and wanting it to unfold the
season we touched on that protection
particularly within the crimson zone wholesome prepare dinner
+ stealin + a robust entrance 7 little
cherry on high 44 19 one my favourite
coach Coach Zimmer versus non divisional
groups I prefer it Minnesota protection plus
the factors I am going to see you Vikings +7
Marco your finest guess please you do love
coach Zoomer
all proper I am gonna go to the Houston
Kansas Metropolis sport we talked concerning the
sport earlier phase the place I took Euston
plus the factors effectively I am gonna need to
place on this one I am gonna even have
the over and this one what number of years the
over is my finest guess one of many issues as
I mentioned Houston could not look any worse
final week of their win individuals are down
on them what impressed me was buffalo
has a high 5 protection yeah okay
they rushed the soccer final week for
141 yards towards that high 5 protection
and deshaun Watson you understand not a number of
expertise and playoff motion and
every part he linked on 20 of 25
passes it wasn’t a ton of yards but it surely
was 219 yards and most of that got here in
the ultimate three quarters as a result of the
first quarter of that sport they did
completely nothing Houston did so that they
acquired the offense going now could be I you understand
belabor the purpose Kansas Metropolis’s protection
is enjoying effectively it is somewhat bit
deceptive sure they’re more healthy now
than they have been in the beginning of the
season however it is usually a giant a part of who
they performed you had the Chargers twice
in that phase and we all know Phillip
Rivers was having issues the second
half of the season you had Oakland who
was atrocious down the stretch New
England Tom Brady could not get the ball
taking place discipline after which Denver and
Chicago have been groups that have been offensively
challenged all yr I am not bought on it I
suppose Houston identical to that first sport
we’ll be capable of rating factors and for those who
keep in mind within the first sport with Kansas
Metropolis
Patrick mahomes was enjoying on a sore
ankle in that sport he performed it they
nonetheless put up 24 factors in that sport he
did not have all of his mobility and that
is a giant asset to him in his type and
the Houston protection they acquired purchased again
final week however they nonetheless have accidents
on that protection they gave up a number of
factors in that first couple sequence from
ball of Buffalo these have been the most effective play
scripted they set them up with all of the
misdirection stuff after which they only
went to sleep after that Kansas Metropolis
will not fall asleep they’re gonna hold
rolling all proper I would love to listen to who
your finest guess is that this weekend once more
Congrats on cashing that Vikings no
sweat final week in any respect I do know you got here
up I saved even $40 save them 40 bucks
without spending a dime I gave them the 5 percenter
child and also you sprinkled yeah I did I can
take her title I do not sprinkle Queen
hear I am nonetheless disillusioned in myself
this I am dropping a ball or I am gonna be
dropping a buffalo towards temple
Buffalo will get robust yeah I do not forget that
yeah
Saturday the bombs dropping and it’ll
be on the Tennessee Baltimore sport um
and the explanation I will be on the
Tennessee Titans now with the seasoned
playoff vet in Tannehill no lengthy he was
in a position to to beat that development of
debuting quarterbacks in New England to
me that’s so spectacular to try this all
the pressures on Baltimore Tennessee is
now it is a free roll for them to get
previous that group and nearly as good as Baltimore
has appeared once more you are not enjoying for
type factors and for those who take a look at the
whole I already advised you we guess beneath in
the primary half beneath 24 um
share info with different movers and
I might inform you for certainty there’s
different teams which might be on beneath 48 beneath
47 and a half beneath 47 for the sport so
guys that win long-term like this to be
a low-scoring sport now they might rating
60 factors clearly however at the least the
market is reflecting that quick cash on
the beneath so that you’re getting double
digits what a group on a free roll in a
sport that is anticipated to be decrease scoring
it is apparent for me I imply once more
Baltimore is the group to beat we all know
that getting in however you are paying a heavy
premium and I already confirmed you that
traditionally on this spherical even towards
these dwelling groups once they’re given this
many factors even once they win the sport
they do not do too effectively towards the
unfold so give me double digit of
Tennessee and hopefully we catch two on
that sport nice so we like each single
underdog this weekend and naturally I am
gonna be eaten alive for Twitter know I
have a favourite of mine oh I do not yeah
I feel I even gave props the KC that
day they alive oh my goodness I can not
wait all proper guys we have now a couple of
minutes left so one of many segments that
we all the time get requested to do is ask the
consultants so I’ve a few questions
VR at holy toes calfy c1 ma man yeah
proper principally effectively the Viking quick
week and journey to the west coast have
an impact on the way you handicap the sport
it baked that that form of stuff is
bacon
cake I imply you understand it is nice the
disgust it is superior for reveals and
sports activities radio and all that um however you are
not gonna get an edge on info
like that I imply everybody is aware of it is a
quick week for them everybody is aware of the
different group is has a bye week we all know the
benefits of these groups which were
off so I do not suppose so
I do not see how you can actually achieve an
edge to guess it a method or one other
Oh crack once more that is factoring into the
line all proper Marco GTO Rain Man
I consider yards 4 play differentials
utilized by many handicappers what are your
ideas on this and what do you consider
crucial information factors are for
handicapping a sport I agree I wish to
use yards per play so much however what you’ve got
acquired to take into accounts with
yards per play is consider power of
schedule as a result of for those who’ve acquired a group
that is had you understand a backside 5
scheduled power their numbers are
gonna be higher they need to be higher or
you are not a very good group I wish to see if
you’ve got acquired stuff the place you discover an edge
and you have got the opposite group performed a
more durable schedule then I put extra
emphasis on that and it is what you bought
that is an amazing query what you bought to
be cautious about stats like that information
like that’s that when it is concluded to
be predictive it turns into factored into
the betting line so as soon as it will get out
there every part one factor handicapper
finds an edge the bookmaker as soon as it is
out you’ll be able to solely make the most of it
for thus lengthy and as soon as it is on the market then
if it is not invaluable that is gone
you are not getting any benefit for it
like if you do not have a knowledge set that is
proprietary such as you see in a Warren
Sharpe that early down success price he
got here up with a proprietary information that’s
predictive that could be a technique to take
benefit of the betting market now
everybody’s speaking about it
that’ll be factored into the worth and
he in somewhat bit he will not be capable of
make the most of it
so he’ll it anyhow why do not we are saying
that like effectively for those who’re such this nice
higher wiring on Twitter why do not you
on TV it is since you’re sitting there
cashing your verify you are holding the
proprietary shit to your self let’s be
trustworthy I
I I learn I learn fifty totally different card
counting books and till you exit
there and follow it and also you notice
there’s these few issues everybody
does not inform you that it’s important to study
you understand that that they hold to
themselves why are you gonna hand over
your edge that is a very good level why are
you gonna hand over your edge we’re gonna
exit however step up for a fast break however
after we return it is gonna be our closing
ideas on this week’s divisional
motion I am Johnny the Greek Corrales
with all the eye on the NFL
playoffs proper now there’s a number of
worth in Hoops each NBA and faculty
basketball over the past 365 days I’ve
given out 100 and nineteen
premiums at wager discuss in faculty
basketball
we have hit 63% received virtually 85 p.c so
what I am gonna do is get you on board
for all the faculty basketball season
simply use the particular code beneath you will
get it for 495 once more sixty-three p.c
on 100 nineteen premiums and
faculty basketball it will solely get higher
from right here be a part of me for the remainder of the
season hey guys I am Lawrence president
the press automotive of wager discuss I excited
that you just’re all watching guess on it simply
need to inform you guys about our hockey
present puck time it is truthfully the most effective
present that I do all week we do it with
the entire hockey expertise over at wager
discuss in sports activities memo from Alex B Smith –
Dave Koch and carmine Bianco Buster’s
sports activities myself and Andrew McGinnis a
totally different co-hosts on daily basis it is hockey
on a regular basis and it is probably the greatest
sports activities to guess on and definitely probably the most
thrilling sport to observe
verify us out 2 p.m. Jap on daily basis
Monday to Friday at wager discuss TV
alright we’re again on your favourite
a part of the present that is proper it is the
recap phase earlier than we depart you for
the night let’s begin off with the
nationwide championship sport I do know we noticed
have loads of time to get to this one
however we acquired Clemson plus 5 and a half all
the way in which throughout the board guys lion chop
there are some we’ll name them native
guys providing higher numbers so make
positive you get the most effective quantity you will get
on the Clemson Tigers and as VR I all the time
wish to say do not forget to sprinkle
somewhat bit on that cash line
hopefully they make it as simple for me
this yr as they did final yr let’s
transfer over to the Saturday NFL slate
Minnesota at San Francisco we acquired a
home divided over right here Marco on an
island by himself far distant in San
Francisco
effectively Villar leans in direction of Minnesota
I just like the Vikings we’ll get to that one
just a bit bit extra right here in a minute
Tennessee at Baltimore plenty of totals
and this one Marco likes the over in
this one and Villar likes the primary half
beneath 24 this one’s now all the way down to 23 and a
half so ensure you guys are purchasing
round Houston at Kansas Metropolis on Sunday
this one’s attention-grabbing if you will get a
10 on Houston seize it as a result of I see some
throughout the board Marco and I are in
settlement there Villar likes the over in
this one as do I it makes a number of sense
these guys put up a compelling level and
final however not least Seattle getting the
Sunday evening late sport once more this time
they need to tramp journey to Lambeau
Area
just about a consensus that everyone
likes Seattle right here I do not suppose I am
gonna play the aspect I discussed on this
one which I do lean in direction of the beneath
right here and we’ll most likely get to the
window with that one all proper guys you
have any closing ideas on this week’s
NFL motion throughout our break I used to be
studying our YouTube feedback did we have now
the most effective bets oh we did not put up the
finest bets you understand there have been teasers
was somewhat disillusioned I used to be complete I
noticed like somewhat bashing however I did not
get sufficient like I already would hate me
extra I am the 1% such as you’re the 99%
purported to hate me teasers it no person’s
gonna play let’s put these up Seattle
and San Francisco that is us they have been
making enjoyable of my teasers on that stuff
and I’ve mentioned since week one factor I
do not guess teasers like do not they hear
however right here you understand they do not hear and
they should not take heed to this one both
since you’re not purported to tease
totals however I do agree with VR he is given
you guys his teaser on this one why cuz
he likes the beneath and he likes the over
each traces have already moved approach too
a lot for anyone to really most likely
guess it Marko’s finest guess the over
the Kansas Metropolis Houston sport VR likes
the Titans Kelly likes the Vikings go
determine coach Z coming in clutch for me I
hope you guys loved tonight’s present as
a lot as we did doing it from Marco Yanni
Ralph and myself good luck and till
subsequent week let’s guess on it
[Music]
That is one fancy guess! My fello gamer says this video could be very unbelievable!! 💰 On this week’s episode of Wager On it direct from Las Vegas, Kelly Stewart, Marco D’Angelo, Gianni “The Greek Gambler” and Ralph Michaels recap the NFL Playoffs Wild Card Spherical, handicap and provides out their private picks and predictions on the Faculty Soccer Nationwide Championship and the NFL Playoffs Divisional Spherical.

► The crew opens up the present going proper into picks and predictions on the NFL Playoffs Divisional Spherical and recap what we discovered from a sports activities betting perspective from the Wild Card Spherical. Plus, as an added bonus, the Wager On It panel go over the Faculty Soccer Nationwide Championship sport between

Saturday at four: 35 – Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49er
Saturday at eight: 15 – Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens

Sunday at three: 05 – Houston Texans vs Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
Sunday at 6: 40 – Seattle Seahawks vs Inexperienced Bay Packers

Monday at eight: 00 – Clemson Tigers vs LSU Tigers

📈 Vegas NFL Odds: http://www.wagertalk.com/livelines

📖 Every week Ralph Michaels will sit down with Kelly Stewart for Ralph’s T & A Stat of the Week.

🔨 Who’re the sharps hammering? Discover out with Vegas Runner’s Steam Recreation of the Week.

🤑 Tease Me! The Wager On It crew shares their high NFL teaser spots of the week.

☝️ Each episode of Wager On It closes out with everybody’s favourite phase, Free NFL Finest Bets!

Comply with the Wager On It Crew on Twitter:
Marco D’Angelo: https://twitter.com/MarcoInVegas
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