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With simply two video games on the board for Championship Sunday, there are slim pickings by way of betting choices. Let’s take a better have a look at the totals for each video games and see what are the perfect bets on the board by way of over-unders:
Tennessee Titans @ Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
Line: 52
One week after placing up 51 factors in a Divisional Spherical win over the Houston Texans, the Chiefs are listed as 7.5-point favorites versus Tennessee with the entire set at 52 for the AFC Championship Recreation. Kansas Metropolis could have a tough time matching that offensive output towards the Cinderella Titans this weekend.
Initially, the Titans simply held the New England Patriots and Baltimore Ravens to a mixed common of 12.5 factors in back-to-back street playoff wins. Based mostly on these performances, they need to have the ability to put up a greater combat towards the Chiefs than Houston did. Second, Kansas Metropolis didn’t rating greater than 40 factors in a recreation even as soon as in the course of the common season, through which they averaged 29.5 factors per recreation. Third, there’s a actual risk that the climate may wreak havoc on this matchup with the assure of frosty circumstances and the very actual risk of snow or freezing rain. Fourth and eventually, Tennessee has accomplished an excellent job of operating the soccer, controlling the clock and profitable the time of possession battle. There isn’t any doubt they may take that method once more this week with the intention to keep away from getting dragged in to a possible shootout with the Chiefs in their very own constructing.
The Titans did precisely that in a 35-32 win over Kansas Metropolis again in Week 10. Whereas these groups nonetheless mixed for 67 factors in that matchup, the stakes might be that a lot larger this time round. Patrick Mahomes nonetheless threw for 446 yards and three touchdowns in that common season loss to Tennessee. If the Titans can journey him up a bit the way in which that they did with each Tom Brady and Lamar Jackson, then they may have a a lot better alternative to win. On the similar time, Derrick Henry was a beast in that common season win, operating for 188 yards and two scores highlighted by a 68-yard run. Ryan Tannehill, who threw for 181 yards and two scores within the win over the Chiefs, has been extraordinarily environment friendly however hasn’t been shy to take pictures downfield when they’re there. If Titans head coach Mike Vrabel has his method, Tannehill gained’t must take too many deep pictures with the intention to win this recreation. Whereas each groups ranked within the top-10 in factors per recreation in the course of the common season, they had been a mixed 19-16 in favor of the over, which isn’t a considerable break up. Maybe crucial consider figuring out which aspect the sensible cash is on is the strain that may include being 4 quarters away from the Tremendous Bowl. After an exhilarating comeback win over Houston final week, Andy Reid and his gamers would possibly need to take an easier method this week with the intention to get to the most important recreation of all of them. On the flip aspect, this Tennessee aspect is at its greatest when operating the soccer and profitable the time of possession battle. With the stakes as excessive as they get this week and the entire already seeming a little bit inflated at 52 factors, the sensible cash is on the below on this one.
Choose: Underneath
Inexperienced Bay Packers @ San Francisco 49ers
Line: 45
The overall for the NFC Championship recreation is ready a lot decrease at 45. That is even though the 49ers are additionally listed as a 7.5-point favourite at dwelling. The distinction on this matchup is that San Francisco is predicted to win on the power of its protection. The 49ers owned the No. 2 ranked offense within the NFL in the course of the common season after they averaged 29.Eight factors per recreation. On the similar time, San Francisco ranked fifth within the NFL with a mean of simply 18.Eight factors allowed per recreation. Whereas the 49ers have the potential to place up some huge numbers on offense, in addition they have a dominant protection that has the potential to fully shut down Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense, which is what occurred after they met within the common season. In arguably their most spectacular victory of the yr, San Francisco dominated Inexperienced Bay to the tune of a 37-Eight victory again in Week 12. The 49ers sacked Rodgers 5 instances and held him to only 104 passing yards. Additionally they saved Packers operating again Aaron Jones in verify, holding him to only 38 dashing yards on 13 carries.
In the meantime, San Francisco appeared to have the ability to transfer the soccer on the bottom at will, racking up 188 dashing yards and two dashing scores on simply 22 carries. Now 4 quarters away from the Tremendous Bowl, there is no such thing as a doubt that the 49ers will need to copy the blueprint that led them to victory in the course of the common season by operating the soccer and taking part in powerful protection. How can the Packers alter? Whereas Rodgers joked this week about constructing off the one landing drive that they did handle to place collectively towards San Francisco within the common season loss, the fact seems to be much more troubling for Inexperienced Bay. The Packers have relied closely on the connection between Rodgers and his high receiver Davante Adams. If Richard Sherman and firm can gradual them down, then the Packers offense may actually hit a wall. Adams had seven catches for 43 yards and a landing in that 37-Eight loss within the common season. Nevertheless, he additionally had 12 targets and his largest achieve was simply 14 yards. With a wholesome arsenal of operating backs that includes Tevin Coleman, Raheem Mostert and Matt Breida, the 49ers are very able to establishing the run, profitable the time of possession and grinding out a victory at dwelling. Jimmy Garoppolo has flashed his capability to place the offense on his shoulders, however he doubtless gained’t must on this particular state of affairs. After producing a mixed 15-18-1 report on the Over/Underneath within the common season, it is smart to comply with that pattern and guess on these groups to ship one other low scoring recreation this time round. After combining for 45 factors within the common season matchup, albeit with San Francisco doing the majority of the scoring, we anticipate these groups to battle in a fair decrease scoring recreation this time round. The sensible cash is on the below on this NFC Championship showdown.
Choose: Underneath
The put up NFL Soccer Betting Picks: Over-Underneath Picks For Championship Sunday appeared first on Wager Avenue.