NFL playoffs betting strikes into the divisional spherical this weekend. The eight remaining groups will compete for spots of their respective convention championship video games. For bettors, there are some alternatives no matter who strikes on.
The 4 video games which is able to put their winners only a win away from Tremendous Bowl LIV have some clear favorites at West Virginia sportsbooks. Each DraftKings and FanDuel favor the house groups proper now.
NFL playoffs betting: breaking down all 4 video games
Whereas books favor all 4 residence groups, the diploma of that favourite standing varies from sport to sport. For instance, WV sports activities betting websites favor the 2 AFC residence groups by greater than twice the margin of the Inexperienced Bay Packers.
Similarly, some video games current higher wagering alternatives than others. We’ll break down all 4 regardless. In chronological order by begin time this weekend, the motion is as follows.
Minnesota at San Francisco, Three:35 p.m. ET, Saturday, January 11
The San Francisco 49ers host the Minnesota Vikings trying to arrange a house NFC Championship contest subsequent week. Sportsbooks in West Virginia like their probabilities.
In line with Nate Weitzer over at The Traces, San Francisco has struggled to cover at home this season. Weitzer studies that the 49ers are simply Three-Four-1 towards the unfold in residence video games.
That wasn’t due to a failure to search out the top zone, nevertheless. San Francisco truly averaged extra factors per sport at residence than every other NFL workforce and the Over hit in 5 of these eight contests.
The Over begins wanting much more tantalizing contemplating the 49ers’ opponent. In 9 of the 17 contests that includes Minnesota this season, the end result was the Over.
The Vikings demonstrated an excellent larger proficiency going towards the unfold this season, nevertheless. Minnesota went 10-7 (together with final week’s wild-card contest) ATS and 5-Four on the street.
The stats clarify these traits and reinforce these narratives. Minnesota’s dashing assault was fourth in the NFL with 136 yards per game on common. Conversely, San Francisco gave up virtually 109 yards per sport at residence this season.
The 49ers might not have a lot hassle conserving tempo, albeit in a unique method. The Vikings’ secondary fared poorly in street video games, with the attainable exception of final week, and the 49ers’ air assault ought to be capable of exploit that.
It could not take lengthy for the overall on this sport to achieve 44.5 factors if each groups play to their strengths effectively. Moreover, Minnesota with the factors is an fascinating play.
Tennessee at Baltimore, 7:15 p.m. ET, Saturday, January 11
If a robust working sport can propel a workforce to a street win, the Tennessee Titans may very well be much more of a lock than the Vikings. Tennessee’s floor assault was tops in the NFL and it had one other sturdy exhibiting final week.
Juan Carlos Blanco at The Traces factors out how the Baltimore Ravens have been impressive at home this season, nevertheless. In 4 of Baltimore’s residence wins, the margin of victory was larger than 10 factors.
Essentially the most engaging line at West Virginia cell sportsbooks on this contest is the Titans with the factors. Tennessee working again Derrick Henry and his offensive line have been unphased final week going through a more-statistically imposing New England Patriots‘ protection by itself residence turf.
The Titans’ observe file backs this assertion up. Tennessee was 6-Three ATS (together with final week) as a street workforce this yr whereas Baltimore went simply Four-Four ATS in residence video games.
Pulling off a victory of almost 10 factors over the Titans won’t solely require the Ravens to do one thing nobody else has been in a position to do, decelerate Henry, however have its personal offense fly excessive as effectively. The Titans will not be so accommodating.
Solely three groups have been extra stingy in away video games than Tennessee this season, because the Titans gave up a mere 17.6 factors to opponents on common in such affairs. If these traits maintain, the unfold on this sport is much too beneficiant to Baltimore.
That shall be it for Saturday’s motion however NFL playoffs betting continues on to the following day. These two video games shall be an additional check of whether or not the bye week helped the house favorites.
Houston at Kansas Metropolis, 2:05 p.m. ET, Sunday, January 12
The Kansas Metropolis Chiefs have a shot to play an AFC Championship sport at residence for the second consecutive season if they’ll dispatch the Texans and the Titans pull off their upset. Earlier than they appear to achieve their first Tremendous Bowl in 51 years, nevertheless, they should take care of a Houston Texans workforce that would play maintain away.
Weitzer recollects how final week the Texans gained their wild-card sport using their running game to control the clock. Towards a potent Kansas Metropolis offense with a foul observe file of conserving groups off the scoreboard as soon as they get into the purple zone, Houston’s finest guess is to shorten the competition.
Consistent with our theme, the numbers help taking the Texans with the factors. Houston is 6-Three ATS as an underdog and the Chiefs’ file ATS beneath head coach Andy Reid leaves a lot to be desired.
Kansas has gone 25-27-2 ATS as the favourite at residence with Reid on the helm. In playoff video games in that pattern, the Chiefs are simply 2-5 ATS.
What’s extra, the Texans ought to are available in with a number of confidence. Houston has already overwhelmed this Kansas Metropolis workforce on its residence subject as soon as this season.
The Chiefs may be capable of exploit Reid’s sturdy historical past of successful after a bye, nevertheless. If they can exhaust an opponent that performed an additional time sport final week, they could transfer on, however maybe not by that 9.5-point margin.
Seattle at Inexperienced Bay, 5:40 p.m. ET, Sunday, January 12
The weekend’s nightcap has the smallest unfold. That doesn’t imply taking the Seattle Seahawks with the factors is any much less engaging, nevertheless.
Weitzer factors out how Seattle has played in 13 games decided by one score this season and gained 11 of these contests. The Seahawks have gone 19-9-2 ATS in video games once they entered as street underdogs with quarterback Russell Wilson beneath middle in addition.
Moreover, Seattle uniquely appears to fare fairly effectively going through groups coming off byes. The Seahawks are 17-2-1 ATS of their previous 20 such contests.
Wilson has been extraordinarily environment friendly on the street. He has not solely accomplished almost 71% of cross makes an attempt however thrown 4 instances as many touchdowns as interceptions.
Maybe the Seahawks’ biggest “X-Issue,” working again Marshawn Lynch, is vital right here as effectively. His playoff status is well-known and the Packers’ run protection in residence video games hasn’t been imposing.
Whereas the expertise of Inexperienced Bay quarterback Aaron Rogers could also be sufficient handy Seattle it’s sixth consecutive divisional street sport loss, it may simply be a subject objective that decides this sport.
For NFL playoffs betting on this spherical, West Virginia sportsbooks appear too optimistic about residence groups’ margins of victory.
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