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Texans vs Chiefs – Divisional Spherical Playoffs | NFL Sports activities Betting Free Picks
Texans vs Chiefs - Divisional Round Playoffs | NFL Sports Betting Free Picks
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frequent alliance now I am gonna speak to
you about this Texans and Chiefs
divisional playoff sport as all the time please
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give us a thumbs up on this factor and
tell us within the feedback how you intend
on enjoying this sport what a sport we do
have two actually good offenses which are
gonna be going at it right here how do you
suppose this factor is gonna play out let’s
have a look right here over on the strains on
this one that is over at draft kings of
course we’re recording this very early
on Saturday morning so this could possibly be on
the transfer in all probability will probably be on the transfer
a method or one other by time this factor
kicks off however we’re sitting at 9 and
a half 51 and a half over at draft Kings
FanDuel sitting at 9 and a half
fifty-one flat after which over at factors
guess sitting at 9 and a half 51 and a
half so the hook is there at each of
factors guess and draftkings and 51 flat
over at FanDuel in order all the time guys we have
bought the we have got the written up the
written articles right here on the strains and
at play picks fully free so head
over there and you’ll check out
how all people thinks issues are going to
play out I will scroll down right here so that you
can learn alongside if you wish to as we’re
going by means of this so you already know this open
2: 10 really was instantly BETT to
9 and a half and about three hours it
all the best way went all the best way right down to
9 and about two hours after that and
then again as much as 9 and a half the place
you see it proper now over at draft Kings
opened at 49 this totalbet 250 inside
about three hours 50 and a half a couple of
day later after which 51 a couple of day after
that after which right here we’re sitting at 51
and a half as current proper now so that you
can see this factor simply regular regular
regular on the climb so far as the
climate concern it is alleged to be good
really it was you already know pay attention it would
snow on Saturday but it surely appears like on
Sunday every thing is meant to be good
once more test that climate forecast on
Sunday issues can get type of loopy this
time of yr as you already know but it surely appears
like every thing’s gonna be okay
Texans 11 and 6 total after that win
final week seven eight and two once more
to unfold the Chiefs are twelve and 4
total eleven and 5 in opposition to the
unfold these two groups did play in week
six the Texans really pulled off a 31
to 24 win on this sport nonetheless in that
sport Texan I imply the Chiefs have been
lacking two beginning offensive linemen
they have been lacking Sammy Watkins and so they
have been it was additionally Tyreke Hills first sport
again for those who guys bear in mind uh Tyreke Hill
bought damage in Week one of many NFL season
it was his first sport again from damage
from that week one damage so simply take
that with a grain of salt you already know they
have been right down to beginning linemen and to in
their two greatest large receivers we’re not
getting full motion Watkins being out
after which a Tyreke Hill really performed
the fewest quantity of snaps of any of the
large receivers that have been that have been
enjoying that day accidents for this sport
the Texans will fuller once more proper
every thing revolves round will fuller
he’s questionable stated that hamstring
is quote nonetheless bothering him that stated
he did follow in some capability all
week lengthy so the hope is that he’ll
go well with it up the hope was additionally final week
that he was going to go well with it up so once more
you are gonna watch you are gonna wish to
watch that actually actually intently ultimate
damage reviews need to be put out the
inactive record ninety minutes earlier than
kickoff
Daron fells Kenny Stills each
questionable for the Texans as properly on
the Chiefs aspect Chris Jones
defensive lineman for them really bought
added to the damage report on Thursday
and so with that you already know when there is a
calf drawback you get added to the damage
report on Thursday that is by no means any good
so be certain and try that as
properly
all proper Texans on offense I will
proceed to scroll down right here so you’ll be able to
learn alongside afternoon twenty three level
six factors per sport common 362 yards
per sport that got here by the use of 236 passing
in 125 dashing 5.7 yards per play for
the Texans this yr handed the ball
fifty-seven level three % of the
time and with the best way right this moment’s NFL works
passing fifty seven level three %
of the time really makes him one among
the extra run-heavy groups within the league
they run the ball on the tenth highest
price really of any workforce within the NFL I
realize it sounds loopy
since you do not consider this workforce as
type of a kind of run heavy groups however
tenth most in relation to dashing
proportion quantity 17th ranked offense
total by D vo a devio a provides them
15th ranked cross offense professional Soccer
Focus grades that cross offense at quantity
14 quantity 6 graded cross blocking unit
not Laremy Tunsil did not have the
biggest sport final week little doubt about
that
deshaun Watson was operating for his life
tone so bought penalized a few
completely different occasions however he really did
nice out because the fifth greatest cross blocker
in all the NFL in response to professional
Soccer Focus so you already know if he can
give up false beginning and all that he’s
one of many highest guys which are out
there in fact will fuller we’re attempting
to get will fuller out on the sphere if
he would not go the bizarre factor about this
is the place they’re the state the place they
are tied in proper now with fells popping
up in the course of the week as
questionable they run a variety of 12
personnel every time will fuller is not out
there so we’ll need to type of monitor
that and see how they it fells will not be
in a position to go this could possibly be actually
fascinating is how this offense goes
to try to operate on the push aspect of
issues for the Texans 11th ranked rush
offense d vo a quantity fourth graded rush
offense by Professional Soccer Focus 27th
graded run blocking unit by Professional Soccer
Focus which is actually you already know actually
bizarre that they are so excessive in that
dashing grade however then the rustling rush
blocking has been so dangerous in order that lets
you know the way good a season actually and
actually that Carlos Hyde and even to Sean
Watson for that matter and a variety of you
know they do a variety of quarterback runs
and stuff I had regardless of the the dangerous
total blocking from from their
offensive linemen on the run rush lot of
issues changing 43.5% of third downs
that’s eighth within the league so fairly good
on third down this workforce high ten and pink
zone landing proportion sixty 4
level one % not settling for subject
objectives fairly often is that this Texans workforce
that’s really seventh greatest within the
complete NFL scoot down right here somewhat bit
for those who learn these by the numbers Chiefs
offense twenty-eight level two factors
per sport 379 level two yards per sport
that’s 281 passing and 98 dashing 6.2
yards per play passing the ball 61 level
5 % of the time that
tenth most within the NFL quantity three
ranked offense total by dvla as you
would think about with that cross offense and
Patrick mahomes and all of these weapons
quantity two ranks cross offense d boa
quantity eight graded cross offense by Professional
Soccer Focus so each of them in
settlement right here that this cross typically is
one of many higher ones in your complete NFL
quantity ninth graded cross blocking unit
for those who type of actually break this down
Mitchell Schwartz on that offensive line
of theirs quantity two rated cross blocking
sort out in your complete NFL by Professional Soccer
Focus each of their guards are within the
high 17 in grades in response to professional
Soccer Focus as properly so this offensive
line has been actually actually good protecting
Patrick mahomes upright on the dashing
aspect of issues quantity fourteen thrinng
crush offense d vo a 24th graded rush
offense by professional Soccer Focus and twenty
third rated run blocking unit by Professional
Soccer Focus now for those who bear in mind there
was a time the place this workforce within the center
of the season had completely no similans
of a run sport actually in any way they
have been bringing again guys off the road
they have been attempting to make issues work a
lot of these guys on IR now it is Damian
Williams is again nonetheless so that you you already know
that you simply do have this workforce somewhat bit
extra balanced with him out on the sphere
however he was simply out a lot it was a
patchwork backfield they have been attempting to
get going right here and actually selected right here in
the best way Professional Soccer Focus rated this
workforce transformed forty seven level 5
% of third downs that’s the greatest
within the NFL forty seven level 5
% of third downs almost each
different time they have been confronted with a 3rd
down they transformed unbelievable quantity
one within the NFL pink zone landing
proportion 54% although in order that they accept
subject objectives lots which is actually bizarre
every time you concentrate on this offense
like why have been they in a position to not get in
the endzone you bought that massive ass Travis
Kelce pink zone risk on the market you bought
Tyreke Hill for all that you already know Tyreke
he’ll the opposite factor about him he
scores from outdoors of the pink zone
proper in order that his all his touchdowns to
actually matter on this pink zone landing
proportion as a result of Tyreke Hills all the time
taking it 40 50 60 yards he isn’t
scoring you already know seven yard touchdowns
issues like that tempo on this sport
Kansas Metropolis performs the sixth quickest
scenario impartial tempo Houston above
league common they’re at 14th
scenario impartial
over right here to play pics you’ll be able to learn what
Nate has going on this one what he
thinks about every thing texans protection
allowed twenty 4 level one factors per
sport 300 eighty eight yards
per sport that’s 267 passing and 121
dashing they offer up 267 passing one among
the worst within the league and now they
are available with on any highest cross
offenses in all the NFL in Patrick
mahomes and the Chiefs quantity 26 rated
protection DVLA total 26 rated cross
protection d vo a 22nd rated rush protection d
vo a now once more consider a variety of
these numbers particularly the push
Stephens quantity spent majority of the
season with out JJ Watt on the market JJ Watt
is again for the Texans now so all of
these are season-long numbers you are
gonna need to think about what you suppose
JJ Watt means to this workforce from a run
stopping perspective and even from a
previous dashing perspective quantity 24 rated
protection total by Professional Soccer Focus
they offer them the quantity 20 rated cross
rush and the quantity 24 nice protection
grade so once more not likely get in to the
passer and you are not masking all that
properly that isn’t a recipe for fulfillment
in opposition to this Chiefs workforce you’d suppose
as a complete given up 6.1 yards per play
and opponents are changing forty eight
level 5 % of their third downs
that’s second worst within the league so
you have got the perfect workforce within the
league at changing third downs in opposition to
the second worst workforce in permitting third
down conversions I’ll proceed to
scroll right here if you wish to have a look
Chiefs permitting 19.2 factors per sport 349
yards per sport that is 221 passing 128
dashing quantity 14th ranked protection
total by dvla that’s the sixth ranked
cross protection and quantity 20 ninth ranked
rush protection d vo a the quantity 25 rated
protection total by Professional Soccer Focus
that comes my method the 29th graded cross
rush in 18th protection grade so once more
neither one among these groups producing
a lot of a cross rush and the Chiefs
really method down on the very backside if
you noticed final week deshaun Watson was
operating operating for his life in opposition to
that Payments workforce they
getting strain on him left and proper
appears like that you already know if the
season-long stats bear out right here it appears
like he ought to have extra time to throw
this week in opposition to this Chiefs workforce that
appears to get no pass-rush for those who take a look at
the best way that your complete season has
performed out right here in order that’s an enormous bonus
for that Texans offense as a complete 5.four
yards per play this unit is giving up
and so they permit 37.1% of third downs to
get transformed so let’s go forward and take
a glance right here at how we predict that this
factor goes to play out so we bought the
hook so let’s make a case for the beneath
over right here at 51 in a half a variety of this
should do with whether or not will fuller
fits up or not the splits with willful
are on and off the sphere
for this Texans offense is completely
bonkers you wouldn’t suppose that may
fuller is the kind of man that may
make such an unimaginable distinction for
an offense however he really does I imply
Deshawn Watson’s drop backs with will
fuller on and off the sphere this yr is
actually actually loopy and this was course
through the common season however when he
was on the sphere 337 performs 78 level to
be a anticipated factors added off the sphere
247 performs damaging four.three EPA that’s what
will fuller means to this offense and
you’ll be able to really return the final three
seasons and the numbers bear out the
identical having that risk having that
connection having no matter it’s having
properly fuller out there was simply
extremely large for DeSean Watson
it has been actually actually loopy the Texans
passing success price because it 55.7%
with him on the sphere this season
in comparison with 52.eight%
when he’s not on the sphere this season
so once more case for the beneath right here will
fuller would not play this offense does
not operate the identical in any respect one other method
you take a look at that is we have been studying off
as to the weaknesses of the defenses and
each of those defenses the larger
weak spot now the Texans have are fairly
leaky within the secondary will quit some
of the
most yards and passing there may be however
nonetheless there rush there rush Deaton’s
grated out even worse and we undoubtedly
noticed that the Chiefs rush protection grated
out method method worse than their previous
protection so for those who’re Invoice O’Brien within the
Texans do you exit and do you really
attempt to run the ball lots and assault
what’s seeming to be the very largest
weak spot of this protection which is their
run protection if that is the case we all know
what occurs everytime you run the ball a
ton the clock retains operating and also you
scores and also you rating at a a lot decrease
price as a result of there’s not likely a ton of
explosive performs within the run sport so that you
check out how this might play out
and it might Invoice O’Brien attempt to simply
maintain Patrick mahomes and them on the
sidelines play ball management right here and check out
to win out a detailed sport now I do not know
if that is essentially the fitting solution to
go about it however once more typically these
coaches take completely different ways in which they
that they suppose that these video games might
play out that may give them the perfect
probability of successful and once more possibly that is
how they take a look at this sport as properly the
different method that this factor sport might say
beneath is Invoice O’Brien is definitely a really
conservative coach proper I imply we have
seen this man be in constructive territory
on a number of events over the course of
this season and punt the ball not go for
it not go for it on fourth down not do
any dangerous play calling on third and sort
of lengthy and stuff so we have seen this man
play very conservative over the course
of the season not over the course of the
season however over the course of his profession
teaching this workforce and that’s but once more
one other method that this sport might keep
beneath right here if we wish to play the over
in fact we’ll head over right here to fan
duel as a result of they do not have the hook
but if we wish to play over on the over
51 I feel it is very easy proper will
fuller does play on this sport we talked
about how significantly better this offense is
when will fuller does play how in regards to the
truth that you’ve got Patrick mahomes
coming to city in one of the vital
environment friendly and greatest offenses particularly
from passing perspective in your complete
NFL this season oh yeah how about this
man me Cole Hardman and Tyreke Hill and
Travis Kelce these are guys that transfer
the ball down the sphere in gigantic
chunks and so they can rating shortly and
that is how we assist with these over performs
is fast fast fast additionally let’s not
overlook it is not out of the realm of
risk both on the Chiefs aspect
every time you have got guys like me Cole
Hardman
we kill what not again returning kicks
and punts and whatnot to see a particular
workforce rating or at the very least assist the particular
groups helped put this offense in shorter
subject place the place it takes you already know
not close to as a lot time or close to as many
yards to attain as properly and we have seen
this time and time once more this season as
properly – in order that’s not loopy to say that
this factor may help get to the over
due to some particular groups play as
properly so for those who actually do for those who actually
wish to look in the direction of the over on this
one your dude banking on expertise and
you are banking on these offenses right here
what each of the protection’s definitely
have weaknesses and each of those
defenses definitely could be handed on as
properly now simpler to cross on the Chiefs
workforce right here recently over the center than it
is on the surface however I think about the
Texans will get artistic in that side
I imply we noticed final week they needed to
get DeAndre Hopkins avoiding tre white
as a lot as humanly doable from the
payments they moved him into the slot a ton
I think about we are going to see a few of that stuff
taking place for the Texans in opposition to the
Chiefs as properly make a so let’s take a
look right here on the unfold and what we
suppose right here about 9 and a half so full
full on disclosure right here for me on this
one is when this factor hit 9 I made
it a part of a six and a half level teaser
to get it beneath the to get it beneath the
two and a half and so by means of the sphere
objective I bought it by means of the seven by means of
the three bought them as a part of a six and
a half level teaser so now that we all know
the place I stand proper now let’s go forward
and say if I needed to play the quantity
that is introduced in entrance of us proper
now I’d nonetheless play the Chiefs aspect
right here I do not know if it is going to make my
account
possibly it will make my rely in some
smaller style but when I needed to play I
would play on the Chiefs aspect right here this
is you already know Amy Reed an additional week to
put together a lot I imply pay attention it is not
typically that we’re speaking about such as you
know large teaching benefit for Andy
Reed however when it is up in opposition to Invoice
O’Brien
it is a large teaching benefit for
him in opposition to Invoice O’Brien Invoice O’Brien
has stumbled his solution to the place he is at
proper now as you noticed final week that they had
to claw tooth and nail now it is um
they have been in a position to come again and win however
actually that was extra the payments dropping
that sport than it was the Texans successful
that sport and he they fell behind early
now take into consideration this what are they gonna
do in the event that they fall behind to this Chiefs
workforce proper what are they going to do if
they fall behind to Patra Mahone’s in
this Chiefs workforce they fell behind to the
payments workforce and actually there was no
risk of the payments simply going
completely loopy and operating up the
rating that was by no means on the desk
it might go completely bonkers if the
Chiefs the factor that you simply’re anxious
about right here with this quantity clearly as
all the time it is just a few type of again
backdoor rating rubbish time once we get
up numbers this excessive particularly this
factor have been to succeed in double digits earlier than
kickoff is you already know you are up two
touchdowns you are up twenty-four ten and
they get the ball again on the finish of the
sport and you already know you type of you are not
essentially surrendering the the
landing however you are definitely not
enjoying like loopy loopy loopy and so they
simply type of chop chop chop chop chop
chop chop the ball all the best way down the
subject after which they get that bum rating
after which strive onside kick they do not get
it in you within the sport however that bus our
cowl proper in order that’s the one factor
we’re anxious about in such a
scenario which is why I haven’t got it
sitting in my account at 9 and a half
proper now I do have it as a part of a
teaser for those who needed to play it as a
seven level teaser and get it beneath
beneath the two-and-a-half and even six and
half simply to get it to the flat three if
you are okay with the type of you already know
rising that push fairness for you
definitely do not hate that play the true
play for me I’ve the beneath fifty one
and a half I used to be ready for this to get
the hook all week when it saved climbing
saved climbing saved climbing after which it
bought to 51 and a half I hit the beneath
pay attention we talked about this one each
time on the case for the beneath the case
of the beneath for me Invoice O’Brien lease
factors on the sphere not solely that I
do not suppose we’ll fuller is go if will
fuller does play he is definitely not
going to be one hundred percent if we’re
speaking a couple of true gametime resolution
but once more and him popping out and saying
that the hamstring continues to be bothering
him and in addition the prevalence for re
damage with these hamstring and delicate
tissue accidents it’s totally very excessive I
do not anticipate will circulate to play a full
complement of snaps even when he does
resolve to go on this sport
this Texans offense doesn’t operate as
properly close to as properly
the opposite factor has gone beneath the radar
is how properly this Chiefs protection has
really began to play over the previous
5 six weeks of the season they took
up a very long time to type of gel to return a
very long time to return collectively however for those who
actually look
the season-long stats in comparison with the
final month month and a half stats it is a
very very stark distinction a really massive
distinction as to how this Chiefs workforce
performs has been enjoying on protection the
previous month month and a half of the
season a lot significantly better additional they’re
really fairly onerous to cross on on the
perimeters they really play fairly
good protection on the perimeter in order that
type of takes away that weapon as properly
now you bought to maneuver DeAndre Hopkins over
into the slot which does not free him up
fairly as a lot to to do close to as many
issues and so and we noticed this even final
week with Trey white I imply he did
lastly get to his his passing prop however
with that it took till additional time to get
there now that being stated we should always
undoubtedly speak some props right here as properly
alongside the best way however you already know let’s take a
look and also you simply want to inform your self
a narrative right here the way you suppose this sport is
going to go proper I imply mahomes sitting
at 299 and a half you are speaking a couple of
workforce that averaged over 280 yards
passing yards per sport this yr and
you are speaking a couple of workforce that gave is
so extremely leaky in giving up passing
yards right here doesn’t shock me to see
this factor as excessive as it’s but in addition
wouldn’t shock me to see Patrick
Holmes recover from that in addition to you’ll be able to
see it is really sitting at 297 over
right here at FanDuel if you wish to take
benefit of that you simply really can get
two further yards if you wish to play the
over in fact you wish to play the
beneath then you definitely bought that over right here on
draftkings over on factors guess we will at
least take a look at what the market is over
right here it is sitting proper between the 2
so there you go you have got a you have got a
297 298 299 sitting on the market now they
do have Watson sitting at 252 the
FanDuel sitting at 250 52 as properly and
255 sitting over right here at draftkings I
suppose one of many issues you’ll be able to ask
your self is there an opportunity this Texas
workforce will get in a gap early and in the event that they
get in an enormous gap early have they got to
abandon the run after which it simply turns into
throwing on each single down if that’s
the story you wish to inform your self we
prefer to play these props how do we predict
that the sport goes to play out if
that’s what the story that you’re
telling your self then we’ll hit
this over to 52 and a half as a result of hey
on the finish of the day irrespective of how good
the chief Stevens play for those who’re pull if
you are dealing with you already know
45 completely different cross makes an attempt for those who’re
dealing with 46 47 48 cross makes an attempt in a sport
the chance deshaun Watson going over
to 52 is pretty excessive at that time and
then at that time you additionally begin to
play some correlated performs as properly
as a result of that at that time Carlos Hyde
has hit the sideline proper now it is Duke
Johnson territory so now Duke Johnson
receiving yards at 27 turns into a fairly
fascinating play you come down right here to
two draftkings really do Johnson
sitting at 24 over right here draftkings so if
you consider this workforce will get in a gap
early you suppose they’re gonna need to
cross a ton and also you wish to play Watson
over passing yards properly possibly you are
trying to cover beneath dashing yards and
you are taking a look at Duke Johnson over
receiving yards as a result of that is how
every thing goes to shift and play
out proper Duke Johnson is available in he is now
the cross catching again that’s in that
finds Carlos Hyde on the sidelines if
he is on the sideline he isn’t operating
the ball so inform your self a narrative play
your props and in response to that story I
do not thoughts that story that I simply informed
proper there in in the least to be
completely trustworthy I feel a reasonably respectable
probability that that story might in actual fact
play out on this sport however as I stated look
if I needed to play the unfold I take the
Chiefs at 9 and a half do have them
already within the account as a part of a
teaser would not definitely don’t hate
that as properly undoubtedly suppose they win
this sport for certain suppose that they win
this sport if you wish to play them as
a part of like a moneyline parlay or
one thing like that cash line parlay
with whoever you suppose goes to win
the late sport on Sunday and even the late
sport on Saturday for those who’re catching this
video early do not do not hate that as
properly undoubtedly suppose they win this sport
however actually not enjoying this sport has
been the beneath I used to be ready ready
ready for the hook to get on there
from the 5151 being a kind of key
numbers in relation to totals we have
you already know type of run by means of this earlier than
37 41: 44 47 now 51 so getting that hook
there now you are taking a look at 31 20 rating
nonetheless stays beneath 27 24 rating nonetheless
stays beneath so actually like me some beneath
51 and a half and type of searching for
this factor to be somewhat bit extra ball
management in the direction of the top then that possibly
individuals suppose and truthfully do not know if
the Texans are going to have the ability to do
their half to get this factor over 51 and
a half as it’s guys as all the time hopefully
this info helped you lean you one
method
you do not have to blindly tail me
hopefully the knowledge that I stated
throughout the course of this video helped
you with the video with the what the guess
you needed to make anyway proper with the
method that you simply needed to go about this so
as all the time please go forward and like this
video tell us within the feedback how
you wish to play this factor subscribe to
the channel be certain and try this as properly
every thing we do is completely free so
please try this and tell us in within the
feedback beneath what you suppose the precise
rating goes to be Texan 77 Chiefs 78
no matter you suppose that that is perhaps if
for those who get it precisely the fitting method
transport Amazon reward card as our thanks
for you watching this video and being a
a part of every thing we will we’ll be again
for the lakes on the sport
you
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